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US Election: Donald Trump’s Historic Return to the White House Sends Gold and Silver Prices Tumbling

Donald Trump has made a remarkable comeback, winning the U.S. presidency and preparing to return to the White House as the nation’s 47th president. At 78, Trump becomes the oldest individual to assume the presidency, surpassing the record previously held by President Joe Biden. Trump, who will now serve a second, non-consecutive term, is the first politician since Grover Cleveland to reclaim the presidency after an electoral defeat.

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has defeated his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris, securing his return to the White House for another four-year term. Trump now becomes only the second president in U.S. history to win two nonconsecutive terms. His running mate, Senator JD Vance of Ohio, will serve as vice president. Trump’s victory prevents Harris, the current vice president, from making history as the first woman to hold the U.S. presidency.

Following the announcement of Trump’s victory, markets responded with a surge in the dollar index, which crossed 105, causing gold and silver prices to plummet. On the Comex, gold dropped near $2,715 per ounce, while silver slipped below $32. India’s MCX mirrored this trend, with gold falling over ₹800 and silver over ₹2,500. Analysts anticipate further declines in precious metals prices due to the strong dollar, with attention now shifting to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming statement on November 7.

In his victory speech in Florida, Trump told supporters, “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.” His win came with crucial victories in North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, securing his path back to the Oval Office. The Republican Party also gained control of the Senate, flipping several key seats.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi extended congratulations to Trump, tweeting, “Heartiest congratulations, my friend, on your historic election victory. As you build on the successes of your previous term, I look forward to renewing our collaboration to further strengthen the India-US Comprehensive Global and Strategic Partnership.”

With the Republican Party now fully aligned with Trump, he returns to Washington with both his previous experience and a sense of vindication. He is poised to enact ambitious policies, including sweeping tariffs on imports, with proposed rates as high as 60% on goods from China and up to 200% on cars manufactured in Mexico or by companies moving production there. Trump claims these tariffs will bolster American manufacturing and generate revenue for other policy initiatives, such as substantial tax cuts.

Trump has also promised to lower energy costs by boosting domestic oil and gas production, including lifting restrictions on drilling in regions like the Arctic. He’s proposed large tax cuts and pledged to cover these costs with anticipated economic growth and tariff revenues. In addition, he aims to revive his immigration agenda by completing the U.S.-Mexico border wall and launching one of the largest deportation efforts in U.S. history.

On climate policy, Trump plans to reverse many of the Biden administration’s regulations, including carbon emissions restrictions and protections for federal waterways. He has criticized electric vehicle incentives and promised to support fossil fuel industries, pledging to roll back environmental protections.

Potential Economic Impacts of Trump’s Return
Rising Tariffs and Trade Tensions
Trump’s proposed tariffs could escalate trade conflicts, particularly with China, adding strain to global markets.

Increasing U.S. Debt
Proposed spending increases and tax cuts could result in a substantial rise in national debt.

Strengthening Dollar
The dollar is expected to remain strong, affecting commodity prices and international trade dynamics.

Renewed Focus on Renewable Energy
Investment in renewable energy may increase, especially in alignment with Trump’s energy independence goals.

Increased Funding for Space Exploration
The federal budget for space programs may see growth, reflecting Trump’s long-term vision for U.S. space dominance.

Decline in Gold and Silver Prices
With a stronger dollar and potential Fed policy shifts, gold and silver prices could face continued downward pressure.

Rising Inflation with Slower Rate Cuts
Inflation may climb as new policies take effect, though Federal Reserve rate cuts could slow in response to economic conditions.

X-Factor: Heightened Market Volatility
Trump’s aggressive policies could introduce significant market volatility as investors react to policy changes and economic uncertainty.

Philip Newman, MD Metals Focus, London on Gold and Silver Prices

As Donald Trump prepares to take office, both his supporters and critics are bracing for a transformative term that could reshape the U.S. economy and international relations. Markets will be watching closely as his administration lays out its economic policies and begins executing its high-stakes agenda.

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