Fed Rates – Gold Price Today

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Signals Readiness to Fight Inflation as Bond Yields Surge

Abhishek Singh — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 06:07:06 +0000

The U.S. Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% following its latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. While the decision matched market expectations, growing differences among policymakers and a sharp rise in Treasury yields highlighted continued uncertainty over the future direction of monetary policy.

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Fed Maintains Rates but Internal Divide Emerges

Although the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged, several officials favored tighter monetary policy. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan argued that interest rates should be “modestly” higher to control inflation.

Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Fed Governor Christopher Waller dissented from the committee’s decision, signaling concern that inflation may remain persistent and require additional rate increases.

Chair Kevin Warsh: Fed Will Act if Inflation Persists

During the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized that the central bank remains committed to achieving its 2% inflation target and will not hesitate to tighten policy if necessary.

Warsh said the Fed would avoid giving forward guidance on future rate decisions, preferring to assess incoming economic data and market reactions before making any policy adjustments. He stressed that every meeting remains data-dependent and that policymakers stand ready to act whenever appropriate.

Treasury Yields Climb After Fed Decision

Financial markets reacted quickly to the Fed’s statement. U.S. Treasury yields surged as investors reassessed the likelihood of future interest rate increases.

The 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.2%, reaching its highest level since 2007.
The 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 7 basis points to 4.677%.

The jump in bond yields reflected investor concerns that interest rates could remain elevated for longer if inflation pressures persist.

Inflation Outlook Remains Uncertain

Recent inflation data has shown signs of easing. A temporary decline in gasoline prices helped the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) post an unexpected 0.4% decline in June, offering some relief to policymakers.

However, the recent rebound in crude oil prices—driven largely by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—has renewed concerns that inflation could accelerate again in the coming months.

September Fed Meeting in Focus

Market participants are now turning their attention to upcoming inflation, employment, and economic growth data ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.

Jerry Templeman, former senior analyst at the New York Fed and now Vice President of Economics and Fixed Income Research at Mutual of America Capital Management, said the economic outlook could change significantly before the next policy meeting.

According to Templeman, the upcoming economic data will play a crucial role in determining whether the Federal Reserve maintains its current policy stance or resumes raising interest rates later this year.

Market Outlook

The Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision leaves investors closely watching inflation trends, energy prices, Treasury yields, and upcoming economic reports. While rates remain unchanged for now, policymakers have made it clear that further tightening remains a possibility if inflation fails to move sustainably toward the Fed’s 2% target.

FAQs

1. Why did the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged?

The Federal Reserve held interest rates at 3.50%-3.75% because policymakers want more economic data before making further policy changes. While inflation has eased, officials believe it is still too early to declare victory over rising prices.

2. What did Fed Chair Kevin Warsh say after the meeting?

Kevin Warsh said the Federal Reserve remains committed to achieving its 2% inflation target and will not hesitate to tighten monetary policy if inflation remains elevated. He also emphasized that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.

3. Why did Treasury yields rise after the Fed’s announcement?

Treasury yields climbed because investors believe interest rates could remain higher for longer. The market interpreted the Fed’s comments as a sign that additional rate hikes remain possible if inflation fails to slow further.

4. Why are investors closely watching the September Fed meeting?

The September meeting is expected to be crucial because it will follow the release of key inflation, employment, and economic growth data. These reports could determine whether the Federal Reserve maintains its current policy or resumes raising interest rates.

5. What factors could influence the Fed’s next policy decision?

Future Fed decisions will depend on inflation trends, labor market conditions, economic growth, crude oil prices, Treasury yields, and broader geopolitical developments. These factors will help determine whether inflation is moving sustainably toward the central bank’s 2% target.

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Gold Prices Drop Over 1% as Oil Rally, Strait of Hormuz Tensions Shift Investor Focus to Inflation

Abhishek Singh — Mon, 13 Jul 2026 09:31:53 +0000

Gold prices declined by more than one percent on Monday as a sharp rally in crude oil shifted market sentiment toward higher inflation and tighter monetary policy. Investors reacted to escalating tensions in the Middle East, where concerns over a possible disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices significantly higher.

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Spot gold slipped 1.5 percent to 4,060.49 US dollars per ounce by 0735 GMT, while August COMEX gold futures traded around 4,069.50 US dollars per ounce, down nearly 1 percent during the session.

Middle East Tensions Push Oil Higher

Market volatility increased after reports of renewed military exchanges between the United States and Iran. Concerns that the Strait of Hormuz—one of the world’s most important energy shipping routes—could face disruptions sent crude oil prices up by roughly four percent.

The rise in oil prices also supported the US dollar and Treasury yields, while equity markets across Asia traded lower as investors shifted toward risk-averse positioning.

Higher Inflation Expectations Weigh on Gold

Although gold is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset during geopolitical uncertainty, the latest surge in oil prices raised fears that inflation could remain elevated. That has strengthened expectations that the US Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

Market analysts noted that while geopolitical risks generally support bullion, sustained energy-driven inflation can have the opposite effect if it leads to tighter monetary policy.

Investors Await Key US Economic Data

Attention now turns to several major US economic releases scheduled this week, including June Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales, and other indicators that could provide fresh insight into inflation and economic activity.

Market participants will also closely monitor Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s semiannual testimony before Congress, along with speeches from Vice Chair Michelle Bowman and Governor Christopher Waller, for further guidance on the central bank’s interest-rate outlook.

Fed Rate Expectations Increase

According to market pricing, traders now see approximately a 72 percent probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase in September, compared with about 63 percent a week earlier. Rising expectations for tighter monetary policy have added pressure on precious metals in recent sessions.

Latest positioning data also showed that COMEX gold investors slightly reduced their net long positions during the previous reporting week after three consecutive weeks of increases.

Silver, Platinum and Palladium Also Decline

The weakness extended across the broader precious metals market.

Spot Silver fell 2.5 percent to 58.35 US dollars per ounce.
Platinum eased 0.5 percent to 1,619.72 US dollars per ounce.
Palladium declined 1.5 percent to 1,257.82 US dollars per ounce.

Investors are expected to remain focused on geopolitical developments, energy prices, inflation data and Federal Reserve signals as they assess the next direction for precious metals.

FAQs

1. Why did gold prices fall despite rising geopolitical tensions?

Gold declined because soaring oil prices increased expectations of higher inflation and additional US interest rate hikes. Higher interest rates typically reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

2. How did the Strait of Hormuz concerns affect financial markets?

Fears of potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz lifted crude oil prices, strengthened the US dollar and Treasury yields, and pressured equity and precious metals markets.

3. Which US economic events are investors watching this week?

Markets are closely monitoring the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales data, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony and speeches from other Fed officials.

4. What are traders expecting from the Federal Reserve?

Market participants currently assign a higher probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September, reflecting persistent inflation concerns driven partly by higher energy prices.

5. How did other precious metals perform?

Silver recorded the sharpest decline, falling about 2.5 percent, while platinum and palladium also moved lower as investors adjusted positions ahead of major economic data and central bank guidance.

Gold Prices Decline as Rising Oil Prices Strengthen Interest Rate Expectations

Abhishek Singh — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 11:46:49 +0000

Gold prices remained under pressure on Friday, heading for a weekly loss as escalating tensions in the Middle East pushed crude oil prices higher and renewed concerns about global inflation. Investors increasingly expect central banks, particularly the US Federal Reserve, to keep monetary policy restrictive for longer, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

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Spot gold fell 0.4% to 4,103.23 US dollars per ounce, while US gold futures for August settled 0.7% lower at approximately 4,113.70 US dollars per ounce. For the week, spot gold declined 1.7%, marking another challenging period for the precious metal.

US-Iran Conflict Drives Inflation Concerns

Market sentiment was influenced by renewed geopolitical tensions involving the United States and Iran. The latest escalation has increased concerns over potential disruptions to global oil supplies, pushing energy prices higher.

Higher crude oil prices typically fuel inflation, prompting central banks to maintain tighter monetary policies. While gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates often outweigh that benefit because they increase the attractiveness of interest-bearing investments compared with bullion.

Federal Reserve Rate Expectations Pressure Gold

Investors are increasingly pricing in another US interest rate increase as inflation risks remain elevated.

According to market expectations, there is roughly a 69% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. Minutes from the Fed’s June policy meeting also revealed that policymakers remain concerned about persistent inflation, reinforcing expectations that borrowing costs could stay higher for longer.

Market participants are now awaiting next week’s US inflation data and testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, both of which could provide further guidance on the future direction of monetary policy.

Physical Gold Demand Shows Mixed Trends

Physical gold demand varied across major Asian markets during the week.

In India, gold traded at a significant discount as consumer demand remained subdued. Meanwhile, China’s physical gold market remained relatively stable after the country’s central bank reported its largest monthly increase in official gold reserves in more than two and a half years during June.

Other Precious Metals Performance

Precious metals showed mixed movement during Friday’s session:

Silver declined 0.7% to 59.56 US dollars per ounce.
Platinum gained 0.4% to 1,616.72 US dollars per ounce.
Palladium climbed 2.2% to 1,274.50 US dollars per ounce.

Why Gold Is Falling Despite Geopolitical Uncertainty

Although geopolitical tensions usually support safe-haven assets such as gold, investors are currently focusing more on the impact of higher oil prices on inflation and interest rates. Expectations of tighter monetary policy have strengthened the US dollar and increased bond yields, both of which tend to reduce demand for gold.

If inflation continues to remain elevated, central banks may delay interest rate cuts or even tighten policy further, creating additional headwinds for bullion prices.

FAQ’s

1. Why did gold prices fall despite rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East?

Gold prices declined because investors focused more on the inflationary impact of rising oil prices than on gold’s traditional safe-haven appeal. Higher energy costs have strengthened expectations that the US Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer, making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.

2. How did rising oil prices affect the gold market?

The recent increase in crude oil prices has raised concerns about higher inflation worldwide. Persistent inflation could prompt central banks to maintain tighter monetary policies or introduce additional interest rate hikes. Higher interest rates generally pressure gold prices by increasing the returns available from interest-bearing investments such as bonds.

3. What are investors expecting from the US Federal Reserve?

Market participants are currently pricing in approximately a 69% probability of a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Investors are also closely monitoring upcoming US inflation data and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony for further clues about the future direction of monetary policy.

4. How did other precious metals perform during the latest trading session?

Alongside gold’s decline, silver fell 0.7% to 59.56 US dollars per ounce. In contrast, platinum gained 0.4% to 1,616.72 US dollars per ounce, while palladium advanced 2.2% to 1,274.50 US dollars per ounce, reflecting mixed performance across the precious metals market.

5. What is the outlook for gold prices in the coming weeks?

Gold prices are likely to remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East, movements in oil prices, upcoming US inflation data, and Federal Reserve policy decisions. If inflation remains elevated and expectations for higher interest rates strengthen further, gold could continue facing pressure despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Kevin Warsh Joins Global Central Bank Leaders Amid High-Stakes Economic Uncertainty

Abhishek Singh — Wed, 01 Jul 2026 14:14:47 +0000

As the global financial architecture navigates a complex matrix of geopolitical tensions and evolving economic landscapes, central banking leadership undergoes its most significant scrutiny in years. In a highly anticipated international debut, newly appointed U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has officially joined global monetary policy peers at the annual European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal. Taking the stage alongside ECB President Christine Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, and Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, Warsh faces an immediate, high-profile test following his recent bold institutional maneuvers, including the complete removal of traditional forward guidance on the U.S. interest rate outlook amidst a fiercely defended battle over central bank independence.

Macroeconomic Stance: Inflation Risks and Policy Independence

Addressing the forum on critical macroeconomic pressures, Fed Chair Warsh delivered clear assertions regarding the domestic price outlook and the operational boundary of the central bank:

Declining Inflation Risks: Warsh stated that inflation expectations and inflation risks have noticeably come down in recent weeks. However, he strongly reiterated the Federal Reserve’s unwavering commitment to achieving its statutory 2% goal.
Price Stability Guarantee: Targeting market skeptics, Warsh noted, “If there were people in households or the business sector, in the financial markets, who thought that this central bank was going to be comfortable with an inflation objective above 2%, well, I guess they’d be disappointed: We’re going to deliver price stability in the U.S.”
Defending Central Bank Autonomy: When challenged by the session moderator, CNBC anchor Sara Eisen, regarding the explicitly stated interest rate views of President Donald Trump, Warsh emphasized institutional continuity, declaring, “We’ve been an independent central bank for a very long time. We’re going to be an independent central bank at this moment, and you’re going to see no changes on that.”

The AI Capital Boom: Inflationary Asset or Supply Catalyst?

The high-level policy panel shifted focus onto the sweeping commercial integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and its structural impact on macroeconomic data.

Warsh noted that in the United States, the AI shock is leading to a prominent boom in front-end capital expenditures, primarily observable on the demand side. While remaining guarded on whether the tech boom is structurally inflationary, Warsh remarked that it remains the central bank’s prerogative to make that ultimate judgment.

He stated a strong preference for this localized capital expenditure surge over historical periods of financial engineering and corporate stock buybacks, expressing confidence that the heavy investments will eventually expand the supply side of the economy, carrying massive implications for future monetary policy.

Global Alignment: The Death of Forward Guidance

A notable point of strategic unity emerged during the panel session regarding the utility of steering financial markets via predictive policy signaling:

Lagarde’s Regret: ECB President Christine Lagarde openly expressed a core regret regarding her tenure, stating she felt overly bound and compelled by rigid forward guidance in the past. Consequently, the ECB has shifted away from providing fixed paths for future rate moves.
Warsh’s Clean Break: Chair Warsh, who completely renounced forward guidance during his debut June press conference, welcomed Lagarde’s alignment, stating, “So we have found common cause. It’s what President Lagarde said… After that answer, I love her,” drawing laughter from the Sintra audience.

The Peer Perspective

The global central banking cohort presented a mixed look at domestic data landscapes while reflecting on past structural support networks:

Bank of England Economic Outlook: Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey clarified that near-term rate cuts are currently off the table for the United Kingdom. Bailey highlighted that the BoE is observing a softening domestic economy, characterized by a loosening labor market, slower activity metrics, and an opening output gap that materialized well before the recent outbreak of hostilities in the Gulf region.

The Powell Solidarity Legacy: The panel noted significant historical context: Warsh’s fellow panellists—Lagarde, Bailey, and Macklem—were all primary signatories to an unprecedented joint solidarity statement issued earlier this year backing former Fed Chair Jerome Powell during intense independence disputes with the Trump administration.

Underlying Legal and Policy Backdrop

The high-visibility Sintra gathering follows critical domestic developments affecting the Federal Reserve’s administrative core:

Supreme Court Decision on Governor Lisa Cook: The event comes just two days after the U.S. Supreme Court blocked President Trump’s bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook in a 5-4 ruling. Chief Justice John Roberts noted that the administration failed to afford Cook required statutory procedural protections.
The June Fed Policy Baseline: At his debut policy meeting chaired on June 17, 2026, Warsh maintained U.S. benchmark borrowing costs steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range. Projections indicate nine of 19 policymakers still anticipate a necessary rate hike later this year to counter sticky inflation tracking above the 2% target.

FAQ’s

1. What was the significance of Kevin Warsh’s appearance at the ECB Forum?
Kevin Warsh made his first international appearance as U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman at the ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal, joining leading central bankers to discuss inflation, interest rates, central bank independence, and the global economic outlook.

2. What did Kevin Warsh say about inflation and the Federal Reserve’s policy?
Warsh stated that inflation risks have eased in recent weeks but emphasized that the Federal Reserve remains fully committed to restoring inflation to its statutory 2% target and will not tolerate a higher long-term inflation objective.

3. How did Kevin Warsh respond to questions about Federal Reserve independence?
Warsh strongly defended the Federal Reserve’s independence, saying the institution has operated independently for decades and will continue to make monetary policy decisions without political influence despite public comments from President Donald Trump.

4. What were Kevin Warsh’s views on artificial intelligence and the economy?
Warsh said the AI boom is driving significant capital investment in the U.S. economy. He believes these investments could eventually expand productive capacity, improve supply conditions, and influence future monetary policy, although their inflationary impact remains uncertain.

5. What is the Federal Reserve’s current interest-rate outlook?
Following its June 17, 2026 policy meeting, the Federal Reserve kept benchmark interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%. However, projections show that several policymakers still expect at least one additional rate hike later this year if inflation remains above the 2% target.

USA and Japan’s Interest Rate Remained Unchanged, Check Expert Opinion for the Day, 19 March 2026

Abhishek Singh — Thu, 19 Mar 2026 09:45:10 +0000

Gold Price Today: At market open on Thursday, March 19, 2026, Multi Commodity Exchange witnessed a decline, with silver falling 1.5% to ₹2,44,342 per kg, while gold prices slipped 0.8% to ₹1,51,712 per 10 grams.

On the global front, COMEX prices also traded at lower prices as the market opened. Spot gold declined 1% to $4,844 per ounce, and spot silver plunging 2.45% to $75.6 per ounce, indicating broader weakness in precious metals across international markets.

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GOLD PRICE TODAY: KEY EVENTS OF THE DAY, AND DAILY NEWS
Key Events of the Day
Thursday, March 19, 2026
06:00 PM – United States – Initial Jobless Claims(Week ending March 14)
08:30 AM – Japan – Bank of Japan (BoJ) Interest Rate Decision
05:30 PM – United Kingdom – Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Decision
06:45 PM – Euro Area – European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision

Bank of Japan Does Not make rate changes. Rates at 0.75%
The Bank of Japan, in an 8–1 vote, decided to maintain its overnight call rate at 0.75%. In its latest policy statement, the central bank flagged the escalating situation in the Middle East as a new economic risk and emphasized that authorities will closely assess its potential impact on the broader economy.

The bank noted that wages and prices are likely to continue rising at a moderate pace. However, a sharp increase in oil prices could exert upward pressure on inflation, with rising crude costs expected to push the Consumer Price Index higher. Inflation expectations have also shown a modest uptick. Despite this, the year-on-year CPI rate may temporarily dip below the 2% target, partly due to government measures aimed at stabilizing prices.

Fed Does Not make any Rate Cuts. Fed Rates steady at 3.5-3.75%
Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve is likely to delay any further interest rate cuts until there is clear and sustained evidence of easing inflation. He emphasized that meaningful progress on inflation during the year is a critical condition for policy easing, noting that without such improvement, rate cuts would not be considered.

His comments highlight that the central bank remains some distance from initiating a new rate-cut cycle, as recent consumer price data continues to reflect persistent inflationary pressures.

Attack on Iran’s South Pars Gas Field
The South Pars Gas Field, which constitutes Iran’s share of the world’s largest natural gas reserve jointly held with Qatar, has become a focal point of escalating geopolitical tensions. The situation intensified after reports emerged that critical facilities within the field were struck, driving a sharp surge in global oil prices.

Qatar confirmed that its key energy hub at Ras Laffan Industrial City sustained significant damage following missile attacks, including impacts on infrastructure linked to the world’s largest LNG export operations. Meanwhile, a U.S. intelligence official stated that although Iran has suffered setbacks, it still retains the capability to carry out further strikes. Iran also acknowledged the killing of its intelligence minister by Israel.

Donald Trump has called for de-escalation, urging efforts to prevent further attacks on vital gas infrastructure in both Iran and Qatar. However, hostilities have continued to intensify. Israel reportedly conducted strikes on Iran’s South Pars gas field, while Iran launched retaliatory attacks following the killing of security chief Ali Larijani. In response, Israel expanded its military operations into Lebanon.

Iran has warned of broader retaliation, signaling potential attacks on oil and gas infrastructure across the Gulf region. Missiles were reportedly launched toward Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Saudi authorities confirmed intercepting four ballistic missiles aimed at Riyadh and successfully foiling a drone strike targeting a gas facility in the country’s eastern region.

Europe does not want to do anything with war
European leaders have pushed back against the stance of Donald Trump on Iran, stating that they were neither consulted nor clearly informed about the objectives of U.S. actions. This lack of coordination has added further strain to already fragile transatlantic relations between Europe and the United States.

Public sentiment across Europe also remains largely opposed to the conflict, with surveys indicating low support for involvement in the Iran war. European Union officials, including Kaja Kallas, have emphasized the importance of restraint and de-escalation, urging calm amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. strategy.

Recent developments show that several European nations have resisted participation in U.S.-led actions, citing unclear goals and lack of consultation, while continuing to advocate for diplomatic solutions.

GOLD PRICE TODAY: EXPERT OPINION OF THE DAY
Manoj Kumar Jain, Director Prithvi Finmart, a senior financial market expert, said:
“Gold and silver prices plunged again and see heavy sell-off after the U.S. Fed maintain status-quo on the interest rates and Fed stance looks more hawkish than expected. The Fed Chairman said that the impact of Iran war on the economy, growth and inflation is uncertain and can’t predict the actual impact in present situation. Higher energy prices will certainly increase inflation and lowered disposable income and it may impact economy for longer term.

One of the Fed member voted for increasing interest rates. In present situation possibility for any rate cut this year is faded and dollar is showing strength and could continue to pressurize precious metal prices. We are experiencing very high price volatility in both precious metals and silver prices could test its support level of $68.00 per troy ounce and gold prices could also test its support level of $4,770 per troy ounce in the upcoming
session.”

Manoj Kumar Jain View for Today (For Gold and Silver) | 19/03/2026
“We expect gold and silver prices to remain volatile this week amid volatility in the dollar index, higher crude oil prices and US-Iran war. Gold has support at $4820-4770 while resistance at $4940-4984 per troy ounce and silver has support at $74.40-71.00, while resistance is at $80.00-83.40 per troy ounce in today’s session.

At mcx, gold is having support at 151500-149800 and resistance at 154400-155800 while silver is having support at 244400- 238000 and resistance at 252500-256600.

We suggest for staying away from the gold and silver as both precious metals breached its short-term support levels, wait for some stability in the market for making fresh positions”

Kedia Commodity View for Today (For MCX Gold) | 19/03/2026:
“On the technical front, the market is witnessing long liquidation, with open interest falling 5.73% to 7,406 lots alongside a ₹2,960 price drop. Immediate support is seen at ₹1,51,025, with further downside toward ₹1,49,025, while resistance is placed at ₹1,55,550, and a move above this level could push prices toward ₹1,58,075.”

Kedia Commodity View for Today (For MCX Silver) | 19/03/2026:
“From a technical standpoint, the market is witnessing fresh selling, with open interest rising 2.23% to 5,975 lots while prices dropped sharply by ₹4,919. Immediate support is seen at ₹2,42,365, with further downside toward ₹2,36,540, while resistance is placed at ₹2,54,455, and a move above this level could push prices toward ₹2,60,720.”

Gold Price Today: FAQs
1. Why are gold and silver prices falling today?
Gold and silver prices are declining due to a stronger dollar, persistent inflation concerns, and a hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, which has reduced expectations of near-term rate cuts.

2. What is the impact of the Fed’s decision on bullion prices?
Comments from Jerome Powell suggest that rate cuts are unlikely without clear inflation progress, which supports the dollar and puts pressure on non-yielding assets like gold and silver.

3. How is the Bank of Japan influencing the market?
The Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at 0.75%, while flagging geopolitical risks and rising oil prices, contributing to global uncertainty and volatility in commodities.

4. What role is the Middle East conflict playing in price movement?
Escalation around the South Pars Gas Field and tensions involving Iran and Israel have pushed oil prices higher, indirectly impacting inflation expectations and bullion markets.

5. What is the outlook for gold and silver prices?
Experts suggest continued volatility, with key support and resistance levels being tested. Traders are advised to wait for stability before taking fresh positions due to high uncertainty.

Federal Reserve Meeting Outcome: Fed Makes No Changes in Rates, Fed Rates are still Steady at 3.5-3.75 Per Cent

Abhishek Singh — Thu, 19 Mar 2026 05:04:19 +0000

Federal Reserve Meeting Outcome: The Federal Reserve’s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting result came on March 18, 2026. It is an important event as the results of the meeting help investors understand the trajectory of U.S. monetary policy. In the meeting, the FOMC decided to keep its interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% while projecting a single 25-basis-point rate cut by the end of 2026, even as market expectations shifted toward no easing until 2027 amid rising geopolitical risks.

Inflation, measured by the PCE index, is now expected at 2.7% for the year, up from 2.4%, driven largely by a 4% surge in oil prices that pushed Brent crude to $107.38 per barrel following escalating conflict involving Iran and regional energy disruptions in Qatar.

Despite higher inflation, GDP growth was slightly upgraded to 2.4% for 2026, while unemployment remains steady at 4.4%, highlighting economic resilience. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Fed, emphasised “unusually high” uncertainty, noting both inflation and labour market risks remain balanced, while financial markets reacted negatively with the S&P 500 falling 1.4%, alongside a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields.

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Details of the press release
Speaking after the decision, Jerome Powell underscored the unpredictable nature of the current environment, particularly in light of the intensifying conflict involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran. He emphasized that rising energy prices are likely to push inflation higher in the near term but cautioned that the scale and duration of the impact remain unclear.

Powell repeatedly stressed the lack of clarity surrounding the economic outlook, noting that outcomes could vary widely. This ambiguity reflects the difficult balancing act facing policymakers as they attempt to manage inflation risks without undermining labor market stability.

The uncertainty was further compounded by developments in the Middle East, where Iran’s missile strikes reportedly caused extensive damage to energy infrastructure in Qatar following earlier attacks on Iran’s South Pars gas field. The escalation sent shockwaves through global energy markets.

Oil prices surged as a result, with Brent crude settling at $107.38 per barrel, marking a roughly 4% increase. The spike in energy costs has already begun influencing inflation expectations and financial market behavior.

Financial markets reacted swiftly to the evolving scenario. Traders scaled back expectations for interest rate cuts in the near term, with futures markets now suggesting that the Fed may delay easing monetary policy until as late as 2027.

Despite this shift, the Fed’s official projections still indicate a single quarter-percentage-point rate cut by the end of this year. However, Powell acknowledged that a “meaningful” number of policymakers are now anticipating less easing than previously expected, signalling a more cautious stance within the central bank.

Interestingly, while a rate hike was discussed during the meeting, Powell clarified that it is not the base-case scenario for most officials.

The Fed revised its inflation forecast higher, projecting that the Personal Consumption Expenditures index will end the year at 2.7%, up from the 2.4% estimate in December. This adjustment reflects both rising oil prices and persistent tariff-related pressures that have slowed progress toward the central bank’s 2% target.

Powell highlighted that a key factor to watch will be a reduction in goods inflation, which he sees as critical for achieving sustained disinflation.

The Fed now finds itself navigating a complex landscape shaped by geopolitical risks, volatile energy prices, and evolving economic dynamics. Powell reiterated that monetary policy remains flexible and will be guided by incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.

With inflation still above target and global uncertainty intensifying, the path forward for U.S. monetary policy appears increasingly uncertain—leaving markets and policymakers alike in a state of heightened vigilance.

FAQs
1. Why did the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged?
The Federal Reserve held rates steady due to heightened uncertainty caused by geopolitical tensions and rising inflation risks, preferring to wait for clearer economic data.

2. What is the Fed’s current inflation outlook?
The Fed now expects inflation, measured by PCE, to reach 2.7% this year, higher than its earlier 2.4% estimate, largely due to rising oil prices and persistent tariff pressures.

3. How did oil prices impact the Fed’s decision?
Oil prices jumped about 4% to $107.38 per barrel following Middle East escalation, increasing inflation concerns and complicating the Fed’s policy outlook.

4. What are the expectations for interest rate cuts?
While the Fed still projects one rate cut this year, financial markets now expect no cuts until 2027 due to persistent inflation risks.

5. How did financial markets react?
Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 falling 1.4%, while the U.S. dollar strengthened and Treasury yields increased.