Motilal Oswal Gold and Silver Price Prediction: Motilal Oswal Financial Services has outlined its gold and silver outlook for Samvat 2083, highlighting the impact of geopolitical uncertainties, monetary policy, central bank purchases, industrial demand and supply constraints. The brokerage sees opportunities in precious metals amid global economic uncertainty and has provided specific technical entry levels, stop-losses and price targets for both gold and silver. The brokerage’s technical outlook provides a gold target of 1,68,000 and a stop-loss of 1,29,000. For silver, it has suggested an entry range of 1,72,000–1,75,000, with a target of 2,55,000 and a stop-loss of 1,50,000.
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According to the report, gold could continue to benefit from safe-haven demand, central bank purchases and fiscal uncertainties, while silver’s outlook remains supported by industrial demand, artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, electrification and persistent supply deficits.
Gold Price Prediction: What Is Motilal Oswal’s Outlook?
Motilal Oswal believes gold could remain volatile during Samvat 2083 because of restrictive monetary policy, fluctuating bond yields, currency movements and changing global liquidity conditions. However, several structural factors could continue to support gold prices, including central bank purchases, geopolitical uncertainty, fiscal concerns and safe-haven demand.
According to the report, central banks purchased 863 tonnes of gold in 2025, while another 675 tonnes were added in 2026 year-to-date. Furthermore, global gold ETF holdings increased from 4,025 tonnes to 4,256 tonnes, reinforcing investment demand for the precious metal.
The brokerage believes that fiscal concerns, geopolitical risks and the possibility of stagflation could accelerate safe-haven demand, potentially supporting another significant rally in gold prices.
Factors Supporting Gold Prices
Motilal Oswal has highlighted the following important factors that could influence gold prices:
- Central bank purchases: Central banks purchased 863 tonnes of gold in 2025, with another 675 tonnes added in 2026 year-to-date.
- Higher ETF holdings: Global gold ETF holdings increased from 4,025 tonnes to 4,256 tonnes, indicating stronger investment demand.
- Geopolitical tensions: US-Iran tensions and other geopolitical conflicts could increase uncertainty and strengthen demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Fiscal concerns: Growing fiscal uncertainty could support investment demand for precious metals.
- Stagflation risks: The possibility of stagflation could encourage investors to seek protection through gold.
However, the brokerage also cautioned that higher real yields and prolonged Federal Reserve monetary tightening could delay gains in gold prices. Such periods of weakness could offer accumulation opportunities.
Motilal Oswal Gold Price Target, Entry Level and Stop-Loss
In its technical outlook, Motilal Oswal has provided the following levels for gold:
- Entry range: 1,41,000–1,43,000
- Stop-loss: 1,29,000
- Target price: 1,68,000
The brokerage’s technical outlook indicates a potential upside target of 1,68,000 from its suggested entry range. However, investors should monitor changes in global interest rates, bond yields, currency movements and geopolitical developments.
Silver Price Prediction: AI, Data Centres and Industrial Demand in Focus
Motilal Oswal’s outlook for silver remains closely linked to global manufacturing activity, monetary conditions and evolving industrial demand. Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications, making its price dependent on both investment demand and industrial consumption.
One of the major factors supporting the brokerage’s silver outlook is the persistent supply deficit in the global market. According to the report, the silver market faces its sixth consecutive annual deficit in 2026, with cumulative deficits approaching 76 million ounces since 2021.
The brokerage believes that growing demand from artificial intelligence infrastructure, electrification and data centres, combined with constrained mine supply, could strengthen the structural demand outlook for silver and trigger disproportionate upside.
Factors Supporting Silver Prices
Motilal Oswal has identified several important factors that could influence silver prices:
- Sixth consecutive annual deficit: The silver market faces another annual deficit in 2026, marking the sixth consecutive year of supply shortages.
- Cumulative supply deficit: Cumulative deficits are approaching 76 million ounces since 2021.
- AI infrastructure: Increasing investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure could support industrial demand for silver.
- Data centres: Expanding data-centre infrastructure could contribute to long-term demand growth.
- Electrification: Growing electrification requirements could strengthen silver consumption.
- Constrained mine supply: Limited supply availability could amplify the impact of rising industrial demand.
Despite these supportive factors, the brokerage has also highlighted certain risks. Solar thrifting, elevated bond yields and weakness in global manufacturing could act as headwinds for silver prices. Nevertheless, persistent supply tightness could support accumulation during price corrections.
Motilal Oswal Silver Price Target, Entry Level and Stop-Loss
According to the technical outlook in the report, Motilal Oswal has suggested the following silver trading levels:
- Entry range: 1,72,000–1,75,000
- Stop-loss: 1,50,000
- Target price: 2,55,000
The brokerage’s target of 2,55,000 reflects its technical outlook for silver. However, investors should monitor industrial demand, global manufacturing activity, monetary conditions and supply availability.
Global Factors That Could Influence Gold and Silver Prices
Motilal Oswal has highlighted three major developments that could influence global commodity markets during Samvat 2083.
- Geopolitical uncertainties: US-Iran tensions and other geopolitical conflicts could disrupt supply routes, reshape global commodity flows and increase volatility across financial markets. These developments could also strengthen safe-haven demand for gold.
- US Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions: Inflation trends and changing interest-rate expectations could shape global economic and financial conditions. Higher real yields and prolonged monetary tightening could delay gains in gold, while changing monetary conditions could influence investment demand for both gold and silver.
- US politics and Treasury yields: Fiscal uncertainty and yield-curve fluctuations could influence global financial conditions. Changes in US Treasury yields and fiscal expectations could affect investment demand for precious metals.
Commodity Market Performance During Samvat 2082
Motilal Oswal’s report also discusses the performance of global commodity markets during Samvat 2082. According to the brokerage, commodity markets witnessed heightened volatility, with precious metals emerging as key outperformers amid safe-haven demand.
Crude oil remained elevated above 100 dollar per barrel due to West Asia tensions, while industrial metals experienced mixed trends amid uneven global economic growth and subdued Chinese demand.
As markets entered Samvat 2083, the brokerage expected commodity prices to remain sensitive to geopolitical developments, the US dollar, interest-rate expectations and China’s economic recovery. These factors were expected to create both opportunities and volatility across the commodity asset class.
Motilal Oswal’s Copper Outlook: Important Technical Levels
Although the main focus of the report is gold and silver, Motilal Oswal has also provided a technical outlook for copper.
The brokerage’s copper technical levels are:
- Entry level: 1,300
- Stop-loss: 1,190
- Target price: 1,500
On the fundamental front, the brokerage believes copper remains structurally supported by increasing demand and constrained mine supply.
Global data-centre copper demand is projected to increase from 1.1 million tonnes in 2025 to 2.5 million tonnes by 2040. Copper concentrate availability also remains tight, with the 2026 annual benchmark treatment and refining charges (TC/RC) at zero, highlighting limited bargaining power for smelters.
Global copper mine production is forecast to grow by just 1.3% in 2026, reflecting operational disruptions and weaker-than-expected output.
Conclusion: Gold and Silver Outlook
Motilal Oswal’s Samvat 2083 commodity report highlights a constructive structural outlook for gold and silver, although volatility could continue because of geopolitical developments, monetary policy and changing global economic conditions.
Gold could receive support from central bank purchases, increased ETF holdings, geopolitical uncertainty and safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver could benefit from persistent supply deficits, AI infrastructure, data centres, electrification and constrained mine supply.
The brokerage’s technical outlook identifies 1,68,000 as the gold target and 2,55,000 as the silver target, with respective entry ranges and stop-loss levels outlined in the report.
Investors should remember that these are research-based technical levels, not guaranteed returns or personalised investment advice.
FAQ’s
Q1. What is Motilal Oswal’s gold price target?
Motilal Oswal has set a technical target of 1,68,000 for gold, with an entry range of 1,41,000–1,43,000 and a stop-loss of 1,29,000 in its Samvat 2083 report.
Q2. What is Motilal Oswal’s silver price target?
Motilal Oswal has provided a silver target of 2,55,000, with an entry range of 1,72,000–1,75,000 and a stop-loss of 1,50,000.
Q3. Why does Motilal Oswal have a constructive outlook on gold?
The brokerage highlights central bank purchases, rising gold ETF holdings, geopolitical uncertainty, fiscal concerns and potential stagflation as factors that could support gold prices.
Q4. Why could silver prices increase according to Motilal Oswal?
Silver could benefit from growing demand from AI infrastructure, data centres, electrification and industrial applications. The brokerage also highlights the sixth consecutive annual silver market deficit in 2026 and cumulative deficits approaching 76 million ounces since 2021.
Q5. What factors could affect gold and silver prices?
Gold and silver prices could be influenced by US Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions, inflation, real yields, US Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions, currency movements, global manufacturing activity and supply-demand conditions.
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